Dan's Bitcoin Lab

Model readLoading…Waiting for market data

Buy watch zone—Lower volatility band

Fair-value area—20-period mean

Sell watch zone—Upper volatility band

Active tested strategyLoading…$100 trading pot · $400 protected · next —

Building the market viewLoading deeper history…

Jev experiment lab

1,000 randomized strategy backtests

Preparing the fixed-stake experiment…

0 / 1,000experiments complete

Trading-pot average—Best strategy across periods

Profitable periods—Out-of-sample hit rate

Average fees—Paid only by the trading pot

Active strategy—Waiting for samples

Jev input—Tokens measured by OpenRouter

Jev cost—Output tokens are free

Optimization rounds will appear here.

#	Prompt strategy	Test period	Jev preset	Pot return	Buy & hold	Orders	Win rate	Fees	Drawdown
Experiments will appear here as Jev completes them.

Method: 100 randomized 30-day periods × 10 strategy prompts · the $100 trading pot compounds its own gains and losses · the other $400 is never available to the strategy · 60-day warm-up · 0.10% fee + 0.05% simulated slippage per order · one-hour signals · no real orders.

Unconstrained candle-by-candle research

Wild Jev scout

Jev independently scores entry and exit opportunities on every hourly candle.

0 / 25equal-period validations complete

Best trading pot—Started at $100

Best scout—No preset technical thresholds

Orders—Two orders per round trip

Modeled fees—0.10% each order

Winning entry clue2.6 visitsAverage lower-zone episodes

Losing entry clue1.75 visitsOversold alone was insufficient

What Jev discovered: Trade count was not the deciding factor. Fee-aware selection produced 16 orders and +17.56%, while micro-swing trading used 20 orders and lost 10.95%. Repeated lower-zone visits plus wider volatility separated winners better than RSI alone.

#	Scout prompt	Phase	Test period	Pot return	Ending pot	Orders	Wins	Fees
Scout experiments are loading.

Architecture: every hourly candle receives independent Jev entry and exit decisions using only information available at that candle · no RSI, zone-touch, cooldown, stop, take-profit, or trade-count constraints · discovery remains 1× · equal-period validation uses 3× paper leverage with fees and slippage charged on full notional, 0.01% funding per 8 hours, 5% maintenance margin and liquidation · $100 compounding pot · $400 protected. Important: discovery periods differed, so only the five shared validation periods are apples-to-apples.