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Dan's Bitcoin Lab
BTC / USDT · paper analysis
Live price—
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Connecting
Model readLoading…Waiting for market data
Buy watch zone—Lower volatility band
Fair-value area—20-period mean
Sell watch zone—Upper volatility band
Active tested strategyLoading…$100 trading pot · $400 protected · next —
Building the market viewLoading deeper history…
Running continuously on Cloudflare
Seven-day live Bitcoin paper trial
Starting the live one-minute feed…
7 daysremaining
Current trading pot£100.00£400 remains protected
Profit or lossEVEN £0.00Including open position, fees and funding
Open positionFLATWaiting for a signal
Latest actionWAITStarting now
Completed trades00 wins
Fees£0.003× notional fees
Funding£0.00Open-position carrying cost
Rules: RSI ≤30/35 arms a lower setup, then a rebound above one-minute RSI 35 on a green candle enters LONG · RSI ≥70/65 arms an upper setup, then a rollover below one-minute RSI 65 on a red candle enters SHORT · no historical backfill · emergency stop remains active.
| Time | Action | Bitcoin price | Position | Trading pot | Profit / loss | Fee this action | Total fees | Explanation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waiting for the first completed one-minute candle. | ||||||||
Jev chooses direction on every completed one-minute candle
Zach’s autonomous Bitcoin portfolio
Starting the independent seven-day paper experiment…
7 days0 / 10,080 maximum calls
Current trading pot£100.00£400 protected and unavailable
Unrealized P&L£0.00No open position
Total trading fees£0.00All opening, closing and reversal fees
Jev positionFLATWaiting for its first decision
Latest decision—One decision per completed candle
Closed trades00 wins
Jev input0$0.000000 API cost
Bitcoin benchmark0.00%BTC movement since experiment start
Autonomous design: Lower and upper RSI setups arm only when observed live. Trades occur on the subsequent confirmed one-minute rebound or rollover, never by looking backward after a move has already happened. The emergency stop always overrides.
| Time | Jev decision | Applied | BTC price | Position | Pot | Profit / loss | Fee this action | Total fees | Probabilities / explanation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Waiting for Jev’s first completed-candle decision. | |||||||||
Zach method: independent £100 paper pot · one Jev request per completed one-minute candle with five-minute and longer trend context · maximum 10,080 calls · seven days · 3× leverage · long and short · full fees, slippage and funding · emergency 10% adverse-price stop · no real orders.
Jev experiment lab
1,000 randomized strategy backtests
Preparing the fixed-stake experiment…
0 / 1,000experiments complete
Trading-pot average—Best strategy across periods
Profitable periods—Out-of-sample hit rate
Average fees—Paid only by the trading pot
Active strategy—Waiting for samples
Jev input—Tokens measured by OpenRouter
Jev cost—Output tokens are free
Optimization rounds will appear here.
| # | Prompt strategy | Test period | Jev preset | Pot return | Buy & hold | Orders | Win rate | Fees | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Experiments will appear here as Jev completes them. | |||||||||
Method: 100 randomized 30-day periods × 10 strategy prompts · the $100 trading pot compounds its own gains and losses · the other $400 is never available to the strategy · 60-day warm-up · 0.10% fee + 0.05% simulated slippage per order · one-hour signals · no real orders.
Original monthly discovery
Monthly Jev scout · 1×
Thirty-day exploratory runs using one-hour candles and the original unleveraged $100 pot.
0 / 10monthly scouts complete
Best trading pot—Started at $100
Best scout—No preset technical thresholds
Orders—Two orders per round trip
Modeled fees—0.10% each order
Winning entry clue2.6 visitsAverage lower-zone episodes
Losing entry clue1.75 visitsOversold alone was insufficient
What Jev discovered: Trade count was not the deciding factor. Fee-aware selection produced 16 orders and +17.56%, while micro-swing trading used 20 orders and lost 10.95%. Repeated lower-zone visits plus wider volatility separated winners better than RSI alone.
| # | Scout prompt | Phase | Test period | Pot return | Ending pot | Orders | Wins | Fees | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Scout experiments are loading. | |||||||||
Monthly method: one-hour candles · thirty-day test · 60-day warm-up · 1× unleveraged pot · exploratory periods differed, so this page remains discovery evidence rather than equal-period validation.
Signal-only five-minute long + short research
3× Three-Month Jev lab
Jev trades only confirmed buy and sell signals.
0 / 25three-month validations complete
Best three-month pot—Started at $100
Leading signal strategy—Five shared periods
Orders—Signal-only long and short
Trading fees—Full 3× notional
Funding—0.01% per eight hours
Liquidations—5% maintenance margin
Validation is running: Five strategies are being compared on the same five weeks.
| # | Weekly strategy | Shared week | Start date | Pot return | Ending pot | Orders | Wins | Fees | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Five-minute weekly experiments are loading. | |||||||||
Three-month method: five-minute candles · trades only on confirmed buy-zone reclaim, sell-zone rejection, or momentum-failure signals · 90-day test with the previous week as context · SMA 5/20/50/200 · EMA 9/21 · volatility bands · buy/fair-value/sell zones · VWAP · MACD · ATR · stochastic · RSI · volume and multi-period returns · 3× paper leverage with full-notional fees, slippage, funding, maintenance margin and liquidation.