Dan's Bitcoin Lab

Model readLoading…Waiting for market data

Buy watch zone—Lower volatility band

Fair-value area—20-period mean

Sell watch zone—Upper volatility band

Active tested strategyLoading…$100 trading pot · $400 protected · next —

Building the market viewLoading deeper history…

Jev experiment lab

1,000 randomized strategy backtests

Preparing the fixed-stake experiment…

0 / 1,000experiments complete

Trading-pot average—Best strategy across periods

Profitable periods—Out-of-sample hit rate

Average fees—Paid only by the trading pot

Active strategy—Waiting for samples

Jev input—Tokens measured by OpenRouter

Jev cost—Output tokens are free

Optimization rounds will appear here.

#	Prompt strategy	Test period	Jev preset	Pot return	Buy & hold	Orders	Win rate	Fees	Drawdown
Experiments will appear here as Jev completes them.

Method: 100 randomized 30-day periods × 10 strategy prompts · the $100 trading pot compounds its own gains and losses · the other $400 is never available to the strategy · 60-day warm-up · 0.10% fee + 0.05% simulated slippage per order · one-hour signals · no real orders.

Original monthly discovery

Monthly Jev scout · 1×

Thirty-day exploratory runs using one-hour candles and the original unleveraged $100 pot.

0 / 10monthly scouts complete

Best trading pot—Started at $100

Best scout—No preset technical thresholds

Orders—Two orders per round trip

Modeled fees—0.10% each order

Winning entry clue2.6 visitsAverage lower-zone episodes

Losing entry clue1.75 visitsOversold alone was insufficient

What Jev discovered: Trade count was not the deciding factor. Fee-aware selection produced 16 orders and +17.56%, while micro-swing trading used 20 orders and lost 10.95%. Repeated lower-zone visits plus wider volatility separated winners better than RSI alone.

#	Scout prompt	Phase	Test period	Pot return	Ending pot	Orders	Wins	Fees
Scout experiments are loading.

Monthly method: one-hour candles · thirty-day test · 60-day warm-up · 1× unleveraged pot · exploratory periods differed, so this page remains discovery evidence rather than equal-period validation.

Rapid five-minute long + short research

3× Weekly Jev lab

Jev evaluates every five-minute candle with the complete indicator state.

0 / 25shared-week validations complete

Best weekly pot—Started at $100

Leading weekly variant—Five shared weeks

Orders—Long and short

Trading fees—Full 3× notional

Funding—0.01% per eight hours

Liquidations—5% maintenance margin

Validation is running: Five strategies are being compared on the same five weeks.

#	Weekly strategy	Shared week	Start date	Pot return	Ending pot	Orders	Wins	Fees
Five-minute weekly experiments are loading.

Weekly method: LONG, SHORT or HOLD on every five-minute candle · one-week test with the previous week as context · SMA 5/20/50/200 · EMA 9/21 · volatility bands · buy/fair-value/sell zones · VWAP · MACD · ATR · stochastic · RSI · volume and multi-period returns · 3× paper leverage with full-notional fees, slippage, funding, maintenance margin and liquidation.